EURJPY into data can move enough to tempt a news-reaction scalp. After costs and slippage tails, mine often looked busy rather than positive expectancy — lots of screenshots, weak R after the bill.
How I stress-test the variant before I keep it in the menu:
- Only after stand-aside timer and spread filter — no first-tick heroics.
- Fixed time-stop; no “thesis expansion” mid-trade when it goes wrong.
- Compare expectancy to plain London continuation on the same pair without the news tax.
Has EURJPY news-reaction survived your cost log, or did you retire it for cleaner session trades?
When the news variant loses the comparison for a full quarter, it stays benched even if a single dramatic winner tempts a comeback. One firework does not restart a retired playbook.
Dramatic winners are vivid; cost columns are quiet. Believe the quiet page.
