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EURJPY and the news reaction scalp: does it still work after costs?

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2026 10:22 pm
by LondonScalper
EURJPY news-reaction scalp — still worth it after costs?

EURJPY into data can move enough to tempt a news-reaction scalp. After costs and slippage tails, mine often looked busy rather than positive expectancy — lots of screenshots, weak R after the bill.

How I stress-test the variant before I keep it in the menu:
  • Only after stand-aside timer and spread filter — no first-tick heroics.
  • Fixed time-stop; no “thesis expansion” mid-trade when it goes wrong.
  • Compare expectancy to plain London continuation on the same pair without the news tax.
If the news variant underperforms the boring variant after costs, I bench the drama. Activity is not edge.

Has EURJPY news-reaction survived your cost log, or did you retire it for cleaner session trades?

When the news variant loses the comparison for a full quarter, it stays benched even if a single dramatic winner tempts a comeback. One firework does not restart a retired playbook.

Dramatic winners are vivid; cost columns are quiet. Believe the quiet page.