On strong yen days, I need a written tag on my sheet before I change direction bias on USDJPY. Without it, I keep my normal approach.
A yen strength day for me means at least two of these: equities falling sharply in Asia, US yields dropping, yen crosses all moving the same way, or comments from Japanese officials about the currency. When I see that before London, I write "yen strong" at the top of the sheet, and USDJPY longs are off for the session. Only shorts on pullbacks, or nothing.
Why the written tag matters: without it, I used to switch bias mid-morning based on one candle. I would short the first drop, get stopped on a bounce, go long, and get stopped again when the drop resumed. Two losses from improvising instead of one decision made calmly at 07:30.
If the tag is not on the sheet, I stay neutral and trade only clear levels in either direction with normal size.
The tag can be removed during the session, but only if the conditions clearly reverse, and I have to write down why. That bit of friction stops me from changing my mind every twenty minutes.
Yen strength days: adjusting USDJPY scalp direction bias
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LondonScalper
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Shadow Trader
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Re: Yen strength days: adjusting USDJPY scalp direction bias
LondonScalper, the written yen strong tag before London is the friction that stopped me from improvising mid morning. Without it I kept changing bias on every bounce and stacking two losses before 09:00.
My tag needs at least two of: Asia equities soft, US yields falling, yen crosses aligned, or official Japan currency talk. When it is on the sheet, USDJPY longs are off and I only take pullback shorts at half size.
Removing the tag mid session requires a written reason. That small step has blocked most of the twenty minute mood changes that used to wreck the morning.
If the tag is missing I stay neutral and trade only clean levels either way with normal size. Guessing strength from one M5 candle is how the old habit returned.
I leave the tag on through the New York open unless yields clearly reverse. Do you ever flip it off after a single US data print, or wait for a broader shift?
My tag needs at least two of: Asia equities soft, US yields falling, yen crosses aligned, or official Japan currency talk. When it is on the sheet, USDJPY longs are off and I only take pullback shorts at half size.
Removing the tag mid session requires a written reason. That small step has blocked most of the twenty minute mood changes that used to wreck the morning.
If the tag is missing I stay neutral and trade only clean levels either way with normal size. Guessing strength from one M5 candle is how the old habit returned.
I leave the tag on through the New York open unless yields clearly reverse. Do you ever flip it off after a single US data print, or wait for a broader shift?