Up 1.5R on the month but down $375: why a journal needs risk in dollars per trade
Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2026 12:30 pm
Up 1.5R on the month but down $375: why a journal needs risk in dollars per trade
This is a made up month, not mine, to show a trap in journals that only record R. Six trades. Three winners at plus 1.5R, each with $50 at risk, and three losers at minus 1R, each with $200 at risk.
In R the month is 3 x 1.5 minus 3 x 1 = +1.5R. A spreadsheet that sums the R column says the month was positive, and the system has a 50% win rate and 1.5R winners, a profile that should make money.
In dollars: each winner makes 1.5 x $50 = $75, so three winners give $225. Each loser costs $200, so three losers give minus $600. The month is minus $375.
What happened is that the risk per trade wasn't constant. The winners were taken at a quarter of the size of the losers. That can come from sizing by feel, a larger size on trades the trader felt sure of, or a stop moved wider after entry while the lot size stayed the same. The R figures hide it because each trade is divided by its own risk.
The fix is to log the dollars at risk at entry as its own column. Then the month can be summarised as net dollars divided by total risk taken: minus $375 / (3 x $50 + 3 x $200 = $750) = minus 0.5R per unit of risk.
It also gives a quick check of size discipline. If the risk column varies a lot with no reason in the plan, the R-based statistics can't be trusted.
This is a made up month, not mine, to show a trap in journals that only record R. Six trades. Three winners at plus 1.5R, each with $50 at risk, and three losers at minus 1R, each with $200 at risk.
In R the month is 3 x 1.5 minus 3 x 1 = +1.5R. A spreadsheet that sums the R column says the month was positive, and the system has a 50% win rate and 1.5R winners, a profile that should make money.
In dollars: each winner makes 1.5 x $50 = $75, so three winners give $225. Each loser costs $200, so three losers give minus $600. The month is minus $375.
What happened is that the risk per trade wasn't constant. The winners were taken at a quarter of the size of the losers. That can come from sizing by feel, a larger size on trades the trader felt sure of, or a stop moved wider after entry while the lot size stayed the same. The R figures hide it because each trade is divided by its own risk.
The fix is to log the dollars at risk at entry as its own column. Then the month can be summarised as net dollars divided by total risk taken: minus $375 / (3 x $50 + 3 x $200 = $750) = minus 0.5R per unit of risk.
It also gives a quick check of size discipline. If the risk column varies a lot with no reason in the plan, the R-based statistics can't be trusted.