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Reviewing a run of losing weeks: separating behaviour from market

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2026 1:19 pm
by FXS London Scalper
After a run of losing weeks, the first question is whether the strategy stopped working or you changed how you trade it. A journal can answer that in an evening.

Checks to run on the losing period against your normal months:
  • Number of trades. Were there noticeably more than usual, and what quality grade were the extra ones?
  • Average loss. If it's normal, the stop isn't the issue.
  • Results by hour. Were the first-hour results normal while the losses came later?
A hypothetical pattern that is very common: trade count 30% above usual, extra trades mostly C quality, first-hour results normal, losses concentrated after 10:30. That points to behaviour, trading later in the morning to "make it back", not a broken strategy.

Changes that follow from that pattern:
  • Hard stop at a fixed time, such as 10:30, unless there's scheduled data.
  • A maximum number of trades per day.
  • Weekly review moved to Friday afternoon, so problems are noticed before Monday.
If the checks instead show normal trade counts and worse results on A setups, that's a different situation: market regime, and worth a different response.

What's the first thing you check when a bad run happens?