Euro area final PMIs: why I treat them as non-events
Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2026 10:53 am
Flash PMIs come out in the middle of the month and often move EUR. The final PMIs, a week or so later, are revisions of the same survey. I looked at whether the finals matter.
From my logs, EURUSD in the five minutes after a final euro area PMI (manufacturing and services come on separate days, both at 09:00 London) over the last year:
The flash numbers stay on my "stop trading" list. Do others treat the finals differently?
From my logs, EURUSD in the five minutes after a final euro area PMI (manufacturing and services come on separate days, both at 09:00 London) over the last year:
- Median range about 6 pips, similar to a normal 09:00.
- A move over 12 pips only happened when the revision was large, like a full point, which was rare.
The flash numbers stay on my "stop trading" list. Do others treat the finals differently?