First reaction or the reoffer: which one to trade after news?
Posted: Tue Oct 20, 2026 6:58 pm
After a data release, price usually makes a first move, then pulls back, then either continues or reverses. Traders split into two camps: those who trade the initial reaction, and those who wait for the pullback (the "reoffer").
First reaction:
- Pros: catches the biggest part of the move when the surprise is large.
- Cons: wide spreads, slippage, false starts. Requires speed most retail setups don't have.
Waiting for the reoffer:
- Pros: spreads normalised, direction clearer, better risk definition (stop beyond the pullback).
- Cons: sometimes there's no pullback. Strong surprises run without looking back.
A practical hybrid:
1. Don't trade the first 30–60 seconds.
2. Mark the high and low of the first minute.
3. If price pulls back 30–50% of that move and holds, enter in the original direction.
4. If it pulls back more than 70%, the move is likely failing. Either stay out or consider the reverse.
The reoffer approach is less exciting but more repeatable for people without institutional speed.
Which do you trade? Has your answer changed over time?
First reaction:
- Pros: catches the biggest part of the move when the surprise is large.
- Cons: wide spreads, slippage, false starts. Requires speed most retail setups don't have.
Waiting for the reoffer:
- Pros: spreads normalised, direction clearer, better risk definition (stop beyond the pullback).
- Cons: sometimes there's no pullback. Strong surprises run without looking back.
A practical hybrid:
1. Don't trade the first 30–60 seconds.
2. Mark the high and low of the first minute.
3. If price pulls back 30–50% of that move and holds, enter in the original direction.
4. If it pulls back more than 70%, the move is likely failing. Either stay out or consider the reverse.
The reoffer approach is less exciting but more repeatable for people without institutional speed.
Which do you trade? Has your answer changed over time?