Seconds after PMI prints on GBPJPY: my stand-aside timer
Posted: Wed Oct 07, 2026 6:29 am
PMI prints on GBPJPY need a different stand-aside timer from bigger releases. It is shorter, but I still respect it.
UK services and manufacturing PMIs usually move GBPJPY less than GDP or inflation data. Typically 15 to 30 pips in the first minute, with a spread spike that lasts maybe 30 to 60 seconds. That is still enough to stop out a tight scalp, and still too much to trade in the first seconds.
My PMI timer:
- Flat two minutes before the release.
- No orders for 90 seconds after the release.
- Between 90 seconds and five minutes: I can trade, but only from levels I marked before the release, at half size, and only if spread is back to normal.
- After five minutes: normal rules, normal size.
When the figure is a big surprise, more than a couple of points away from expectations, I extend the stand-aside to ten minutes and treat the event like a major release.
There is one complication with European PMIs. They come out before the UK figure, so GBPJPY sometimes moves on euro data first. If the euro numbers caused a big move, I add a minute or two to the UK timer.
I keep the two timers on different lines of my card so I do not mix them up on a busy morning.
UK services and manufacturing PMIs usually move GBPJPY less than GDP or inflation data. Typically 15 to 30 pips in the first minute, with a spread spike that lasts maybe 30 to 60 seconds. That is still enough to stop out a tight scalp, and still too much to trade in the first seconds.
My PMI timer:
- Flat two minutes before the release.
- No orders for 90 seconds after the release.
- Between 90 seconds and five minutes: I can trade, but only from levels I marked before the release, at half size, and only if spread is back to normal.
- After five minutes: normal rules, normal size.
When the figure is a big surprise, more than a couple of points away from expectations, I extend the stand-aside to ten minutes and treat the event like a major release.
There is one complication with European PMIs. They come out before the UK figure, so GBPJPY sometimes moves on euro data first. If the euro numbers caused a big move, I add a minute or two to the UK timer.
I keep the two timers on different lines of my card so I do not mix them up on a busy morning.