Playbook card: round-number bounce on GBPUSD
Posted: Wed Oct 07, 2026 1:08 am
My playbook card for a round-number bounce on GBPUSD is short enough to fit on a sticky note.
Level: a round number (00 or 50) that mattered overnight or in early London, meaning price reacted to it at least once before I plan the trade. A round number I only notice after the bounce has started does not qualify.
Trigger: price returns to the level with slowing momentum, prints a rejection candle on M1, and the next candle confirms by trading beyond the rejection candle's extreme.
Stop: 3 to 4 pips beyond the round number, never exactly at it. Round numbers get swept.
Time: if the trade does not reach 1R within 15 minutes, I close it.
Filters: no trade within 15 minutes of UK or US data, and no trade if spread is more than 1.5 times normal.
That is the whole card. When I review losing trades on this setup, most of them broke one of these lines, usually the first. Cable passes through lots of round numbers each day, and it is easy to convince yourself every one of them is a level.
I would be interested in how others handle the stop. Do you use a fixed buffer like mine or structure?
Level: a round number (00 or 50) that mattered overnight or in early London, meaning price reacted to it at least once before I plan the trade. A round number I only notice after the bounce has started does not qualify.
Trigger: price returns to the level with slowing momentum, prints a rejection candle on M1, and the next candle confirms by trading beyond the rejection candle's extreme.
Stop: 3 to 4 pips beyond the round number, never exactly at it. Round numbers get swept.
Time: if the trade does not reach 1R within 15 minutes, I close it.
Filters: no trade within 15 minutes of UK or US data, and no trade if spread is more than 1.5 times normal.
That is the whole card. When I review losing trades on this setup, most of them broke one of these lines, usually the first. Cable passes through lots of round numbers each day, and it is easy to convince yourself every one of them is a level.
I would be interested in how others handle the stop. Do you use a fixed buffer like mine or structure?