Simplifying abort criteria after two losers, costs included
Posted: Tue Oct 06, 2026 7:23 pm
After two losers in a row, my abort rule used to be complicated. Now it is simple, and it includes costs.
The rule: after two consecutive full losses in one session, I either stop for the day or switch to observation only, with half size allowed for one more trade if a clear A-grade setup appears. That is the whole rule.
The cost part: if spreads are wider than usual at that moment, the half-size option is gone. Wider than usual means more than 1.5 times my normal spread for the pair. The reason is simple: after two losses I already want to win money back, and if I then trade with expensive spreads, I have to be right even more often just to break even.
What I removed from the old rule: a list of exceptions about different setups, times of day and pairs. In practice, I used those exceptions to justify a third trade almost every time. Fewer options means fewer arguments with myself.
Results since changing it: fewer three-loss sessions, and my worst days are noticeably smaller. The half-size trade after two losses is taken maybe once every couple of weeks, and it is roughly breakeven. Mainly it stops me from feeling that I gave up too easily.
The rule: after two consecutive full losses in one session, I either stop for the day or switch to observation only, with half size allowed for one more trade if a clear A-grade setup appears. That is the whole rule.
The cost part: if spreads are wider than usual at that moment, the half-size option is gone. Wider than usual means more than 1.5 times my normal spread for the pair. The reason is simple: after two losses I already want to win money back, and if I then trade with expensive spreads, I have to be right even more often just to break even.
What I removed from the old rule: a list of exceptions about different setups, times of day and pairs. In practice, I used those exceptions to justify a third trade almost every time. Fewer options means fewer arguments with myself.
Results since changing it: fewer three-loss sessions, and my worst days are noticeably smaller. The half-size trade after two losses is taken maybe once every couple of weeks, and it is roughly breakeven. Mainly it stops me from feeling that I gave up too easily.