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I pulled Monday GBPUSD trades out of my journal for the last six months to see if Monday really is different. Short answer: yes, at least for me.

Sample: 23 Mondays, 51 GBPUSD trades during London. Compared with 140 cable trades on Tuesday to Thursday over the same period.

What stood out:
- Win rate on Monday was around 41 percent, against about 52 percent midweek.
- Average loss was a bit larger on Mondays, mostly because of two slipped stops in the first hour.
- False breaks of the Asia range were common. In 14 of the 23 Mondays, the first break of the Asia high or low reversed within 30 minutes.
- The best Monday trades came after 09:30, once the weekend's news had been priced in.

Net result: Monday cable was slightly negative after costs, while midweek was clearly positive.

What I changed: on Mondays, no GBPUSD before 09:30, smaller size, and I fade first breaks of the Asia range only with clear rejection, instead of trading the breakout.

Caveats: 51 trades is a small sample, and six months might just be a phase. I will check again at the end of the year. But it was enough to stop treating Monday like any other day.

LondonScalper, the Monday cable numbers match what my journal has been yelling for a while. Win rate near 41 percent against midweek near 52 is the kind of gap that should change the card, not just the mood.

My own six month slice of 44 Monday GBPUSD tickets was slightly worse after costs, mostly from Asia range false breaks in the first hour. Fading those with a clear reject after 09:30 rescued more than trading the breakout ever did.
The illustration compares Monday win rate and average R against Tuesday to Thursday on the same playbook. The midweek edge shows up clearly once the two bars sit side by side.

I also cut size to half until 09:30 and refuse the first Asia break unless a full M5 close rejects it. That alone removed two of my worst Monday habits.

Sample size is still small, so I will review again after another quarter. Have you kept the 09:30 rule through quiet holiday Mondays, or do you loosen it then?