Ask the desk: EURGBP into NY open
Posted: Tue Oct 06, 2026 9:36 am
EURGBP into NY open is a question I ask the desk (myself) only if London already left a clean inventory story.
Most days the answer is skip. The pair can look mean-reverting and then go quiet while USD pairs thrash. My ask list: was London range respected, is there a scheduled UK/EU leftover headline, and do I already have USD risk on? If USD risk is on, EURGBP is correlated entertainment I do not need.
When I do take it, size is small and the invalidation is a time stop more than a wide price stop. I am asking whether continuation of a London idea still has oxygen, not starting a new primary book at 14:00. If I cannot answer that in one sentence, the desk says no. If the desk answer is "maybe", that means no. Maybe is how EURGBP leftovers appear in the book at 15:00 with no plan. Binary answers only into NY open.
A rough filter I use: if EURGBP has already covered most of its average daily range by 13:00 London, I treat any NY open idea as late and skip it. Pairs that slow and range rarely reward a fresh afternoon entry.
Most days the answer is skip. The pair can look mean-reverting and then go quiet while USD pairs thrash. My ask list: was London range respected, is there a scheduled UK/EU leftover headline, and do I already have USD risk on? If USD risk is on, EURGBP is correlated entertainment I do not need.
When I do take it, size is small and the invalidation is a time stop more than a wide price stop. I am asking whether continuation of a London idea still has oxygen, not starting a new primary book at 14:00. If I cannot answer that in one sentence, the desk says no. If the desk answer is "maybe", that means no. Maybe is how EURGBP leftovers appear in the book at 15:00 with no plan. Binary answers only into NY open.
A rough filter I use: if EURGBP has already covered most of its average daily range by 13:00 London, I treat any NY open idea as late and skip it. Pairs that slow and range rarely reward a fresh afternoon entry.