News process: linking this to costs
Posted: Mon Oct 05, 2026 7:29 pm
Most news talk on forums is about direction. My sheet has a cost column because the same print that is "tradable" on paper is often untradable once spread and slip are counted.
For EURUSD I log average spread in the five minutes before a Tier-1 release, the worst spread in the sixty seconds after, and the first minute where spread is back inside my normal filter (0.6 pip on my raw account). If that recovery takes longer than I allow for the setup, the trade is a cost reject even if the chart looks perfect.
Last NFP: pre-print average 0.3, spike to 2.1, back under 0.6 at +4 minutes. My old habit was to look for a pullback at +90 seconds. That habit is retired. The cost column said I was paying for drama.
I also tag commission and any rejected orders. A reject during the spike is information about the broker path under load, not an invitation to market-order harder. Linking news process to costs just means the blackout is not only about being wrong on direction. It is about refusing to buy volatility at a markup that deletes the edge of a two-pip scalp.
For EURUSD I log average spread in the five minutes before a Tier-1 release, the worst spread in the sixty seconds after, and the first minute where spread is back inside my normal filter (0.6 pip on my raw account). If that recovery takes longer than I allow for the setup, the trade is a cost reject even if the chart looks perfect.
Last NFP: pre-print average 0.3, spike to 2.1, back under 0.6 at +4 minutes. My old habit was to look for a pullback at +90 seconds. That habit is retired. The cost column said I was paying for drama.
I also tag commission and any rejected orders. A reject during the spike is information about the broker path under load, not an invitation to market-order harder. Linking news process to costs just means the blackout is not only about being wrong on direction. It is about refusing to buy volatility at a markup that deletes the edge of a two-pip scalp.