Position inventory rules ahead of BOJ headlines
Posted: Mon Oct 05, 2026 6:41 pm
BOJ risk is not only a USDJPY problem. If I am long EURJPY or short USDJPY leftovers into a headline window, that is inventory I chose.
Rules I use:
- Into a scheduled BOJ window, yen-crossed inventory is flat unless the ticket has a written hold plan with a hard time stop. "It will be fine" is not a plan.
- EURUSD can stay if the risk is truly dollar-Europe and not a sneaky risk-sentiment bet on the yen. When unsure, I flatten.
- No new yen-cross tickets inside T-30.
- Screenshot the book at T-30 so I cannot rewrite history after the headline.
I learned this by holding a "harmless" EURJPY scalp into a BOJ headline that I thought was USDJPY-only drama. Correlation showed up in seconds. Inventory rules ahead of BOJ are really about admitting which tickets are yen tickets in disguise, and clearing them while the decision is still cheap. Flat before the headline is a valid trade outcome. If a BOJ window is only a rumour window with no scheduled time, I treat the whole London session as raised yen risk and keep yen-cross size at half until the rumour dies or a real timestamp appears.
Rules I use:
- Into a scheduled BOJ window, yen-crossed inventory is flat unless the ticket has a written hold plan with a hard time stop. "It will be fine" is not a plan.
- EURUSD can stay if the risk is truly dollar-Europe and not a sneaky risk-sentiment bet on the yen. When unsure, I flatten.
- No new yen-cross tickets inside T-30.
- Screenshot the book at T-30 so I cannot rewrite history after the headline.
I learned this by holding a "harmless" EURJPY scalp into a BOJ headline that I thought was USDJPY-only drama. Correlation showed up in seconds. Inventory rules ahead of BOJ are really about admitting which tickets are yen tickets in disguise, and clearing them while the decision is still cheap. Flat before the headline is a valid trade outcome. If a BOJ window is only a rumour window with no scheduled time, I treat the whole London session as raised yen risk and keep yen-cross size at half until the rumour dies or a real timestamp appears.