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Asia range fade into London on EURGBP is an old idea. Costs decide whether it still earns rent.

I fade a clear Asia extreme only when London shows rejection rather than acceptance, and I keep the target inside the Asia range — not a fantasy mean-reversion to last week’s midpoint. Cross spreads mean the pattern must be clean; pretty is not enough.

Rule: no fade if Asia range is tiny (nothing meaningful to mean-revert) and no fade if London opens with strong directional displacement through the extreme. Pending orders parked at Asia highs without confirmation have been worse for me than waiting for the rejection close.

If EURUSD is one-way and GBP is just dragged, EURGBP fades can be residual noise. I check the parents before fading the child.

I would rather miss a tidy fade than collect a cost-eaten scratch that looks clever in hindsight.

• Still trading Asia range fades on EURGBP?
• London confirmation required, or pending orders at the extreme?

After-cost honesty appreciated.

EURGBP Asia fade only after London rejection

Old pattern, costs decide survival. I will fade a clear Asia extreme on EURGBP only when London shows rejection rather than acceptance, and the target stays inside the Asia range — not a romantic trip to last week’s midpoint.

Cross spreads and occasional sticky liquidity mean my minimum edge in points is higher than on EURUSD. If the sheet says the fade no longer clears costs at my size, the setup becomes a journal observation, not a ticket.

Rule: no fade if UK data is inside the next half hour, and no chase if I missed the rejection candle. Late entries on crosses are how small edges become chores.

If London accepts through the Asia extreme with range expansion, I cancel the fade idea entirely. Acceptance is the opposite of the setup, and arguing with it has a clear historical PnL on my sheet.

Has EURGBP Asia fade still cleared your cost hurdle over the last month of logs, or have you retired it pending better spreads?