Hello traders, fairman,Fairman wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2026 11:15 am Before committing real money to any new scalping idea, put in the work to backtest it across a genuinely meaningful sample — at least 100 historical setups, and ideally more, across a range of different market conditions rather than just one particularly favorable stretch.
A strategy that "feels right" after five live trades has told you essentially nothing statistically meaningful. Five trades is well within the range where pure random variance can produce a misleadingly strong (or misleadingly weak) result, regardless of whether the underlying strategy has any genuine edge at all.
Proper backtesting means going back through historical charts, applying your specific, written entry and exit criteria mechanically and honestly — not cherry-picking the setups that would have worked while conveniently skipping the ones that wouldn't have — and tracking the results with the same rigor you'd apply to live trades: win rate, average reward-to-risk, maximum consecutive losses, and overall expectancy.
This process takes real time and effort, which is exactly why so many traders skip it and jump straight to live trading with real capital instead. But the traders who consistently survive and improve over the long run are, almost without exception, the ones who did this unglamorous groundwork first, rather than discovering a strategy's flaws the expensive way, one live losing trade at a time.
i think some strategies you can not backtest, because you will not have that News at that time plus fundamental bias.