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Re: Risk-Reward Below 1:1 Needs a Very High Win Rate to Survive
Posted: Sat Oct 03, 2026 3:16 pm
by Fairman
yeah fair. People see the win rate and skip the part where one slip wipes out a week. If you haven't got a few hundred trades logged with real spread in them, you don't actually know your win rate.
Re: Risk-Reward Below 1:1 Needs a Very High Win Rate to Survive
Posted: Wed Oct 14, 2026 6:57 am
by FXS Prop Desk
The 88-94% range shows how high the bar is for negative R:R. For readers considering this profile, two checks: first, verify the win rate over several hundred trades that include at least a couple of high-impact news days, because one slipped stop at 2-3x the planned loss can erase dozens of wins.
Second, track the average loss against the planned loss. In a 7-8 pip risk / 5 pip target model, a few pips of extra slippage on losers changes the break-even win rate meaningfully. The traders you describe likely succeed because their execution keeps losses exactly where planned.